The Dutch apple harvest is expected to decline sharply this year, falling by 18% compared with 2025, while pear production is forecast to rise by 10%.
The estimates, released by GroentenFruit Huis and the Dutch Fruit Growers’ Organisation (NFO), are based on the latest findings from the country’s harvest forecasting working group.
The lower apple crop follows an exceptionally productive 2025 season, when trees carried above-average volumes.
Elstar and Jonagold volumes decline
Elstar, by far the most widely grown apple variety in the Netherlands, is expected to reach 77 million kg, representing a 21% reduction from last year.
Production of Jonagold, including Jonagored, is forecast at 47 million kg, down 20%. The next most important varieties in terms of harvested volumes are Kanzi and Rode Boskoop.
The Dutch apple area continues its long-term downward trend. In 2026, planted acreage is expected to decrease by 3% to 4,902 hectares. Over the past decade, the country has lost more than 2,000 hectares of apple orchards.
Conference drives pear growth
The outlook is more positive for pears, with trees carrying more fruit on average than one year ago.
Conference accounts for 76% of the Dutch pear harvest and is expected to reach 299 million kg, up 12% compared with 2025.
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It is followed, at some distance, by Xenia, with 24 million kg; Beurré Alexander Lucas, with 22 million kg; and Doyenné du Comice, with 21 million kg.
The Dutch pear area stands at 9,995 hectares this year and has remained close to 10,000 hectares since 2018.
Water availability remains crucial
The final weeks of the growing season will be decisive for both yields and fruit quality. Adequate water availability will remain particularly important as growers approach the start of harvesting.
The new crop of the main apple and pear varieties is expected to become available from late August.
Despite challenges including hail, dry periods and additional regulatory requirements, the Dutch fruit sector remains positive about the forthcoming season.
