Moroccan avocado growers are closely monitoring weather conditions ahead of the new campaign after an early-summer heatwave affected orchards across the country.
According to Abdellah Elyamlahi, president of the Moroccan Avocado Association (MAVA), the extreme temperatures recorded at the end of May caused the loss of approximately 30% of the fruit that had already passed the flowering stage.
Despite this setback, the sector still expects significant production volumes, as the initial crop potential before the heatwave was particularly high.
August will determine final production
The final outcome of the season will depend largely on temperatures over the coming weeks. Elyamlahi explained that production could reach approximately 130,000 tonnes if August temperatures remain below the 38°C to 40°C threshold.
This estimate would provide the industry with a solid supply base for the forthcoming campaign. However, a further episode of heat stress during this critical stage could reduce the final crop.
The situation is being monitored particularly closely after the experience of the 2025/26 season, when two heatwaves, recorded in May and August, led to the loss of around half of the expected production.
Positive outlook for fruit size and quality
The Moroccan avocado sector expects the crop to consist mainly of medium and large-sized fruit.
RELATED NEWS: Spain imports four times more avocados from Peru than from Morocco
Quality prospects are also favourable, with the industry anticipating a strong season in line with the improvements achieved in recent campaigns.
Season expected to begin in October
No major changes are expected regarding the start of harvesting and marketing. The Moroccan avocado season is forecast to begin in October, following the usual schedule for the origin.
The sector’s attention will therefore remain focused on August, whose temperatures will be decisive in determining both the final volume available and the overall performance of the new campaign.
