Northern Hemisphere citrus production forecast

cítricos árbol

The WCO Secretariat has released its first crop production forecast for the forthcoming Northern Hemisphere citrus season 2020-21. The preliminary forecast is collected from industry associations in Egypt, Greece, Israel, Italy, Morocco, Spain, Tunisia, Turkey and the United States (California and Florida).

The preliminary forecast shows that the 2020-21 citrus Northern Hemisphere crop is expected to reach 28.737.570 T, which represents a decrease of slight decrease of 1% compared to the 2019 crop. This decreased volume is the result of alternance in some countries compared to last year, as well as the impact of the droughts recorded in several production regions in the Northern Hemisphere.
By citrus categories, most categories showed decreases in production. Orange is expected to decrease by 2%, lemon by 7% and grapefruit by 9%. The only category increasing production volumes compared to the previous year is soft citrus (+5%).

Looking at production by region, European production is expected to experience an increase in volume, with 12% increases recorded for both Italy and Spain, respectively, and a 1% decrease for Greece. In the Southern rim of the Mediterranean, crop forecasts for Egypt (-8%), Israel (-4%) and Turkey (-15%) have been lowered compared to 2019 volumes. On the other hand, Morocco and Tunisia forecast increases in their citrus crops this year, by 13% and 20% respectively compared to 2019 figures. On its side, the United States production is expected to decrease by 9% compared to the precedent year, with California lowering its forecast by 5% and Florida by 14%.

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