Wholesalers are already reporting disruptions in supply flows, particularly for products traditionally sourced from the region. Some lines, such as fresh herbs, are becoming harder to secure, forcing importers to seek alternative origins and adjust their sourcing strategies.
Market operators indicate that while prices have not yet fully reflected these disruptions, cost pressures are building rapidly. Logistics complications, combined with reduced availability, are expected to translate into higher prices for consumers in the coming weeks.
The situation is further compounded by rising energy costs, which are starting to affect greenhouse production. As heating expenses increase, crops such as tomatoes and cucumbers could see price adjustments within a short timeframe, especially during peak production periods.
RELATED NEWS: Maersk introduces global emergency surcharge amid rising fuel costs
In parallel, concerns are growing over the broader impact on food inflation. The Middle East conflict is putting pressure on key global trade routes, including the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic corridor for oil and fertiliser shipments. Any prolonged disruption is likely to increase input costs across the agricultural sector.
Retail analysts also point to a potential knock-on effect as higher fuel, fertiliser and energy costs move through the supply chain. Although consumer demand has remained relatively stable in recent months, the outlook is becoming more uncertain as inflationary pressures resurface.
Industry stakeholders warn that, if the current situation persists, both wholesale and retail prices for fresh produce are likely to rise, with the effects becoming more visible in the short term.
